The Tunisian state has a responsibility to create economic alternatives to southern smuggling networks
Meanwhile, Tunisian protesters have issued a set of demands, including the cancellation of the 30-dinar ($11) entry fee at the crossing and the acceleration of development projects in Ben Guerdane.
Vibrant border economy
Smuggling networks are the main employer in Tunisia’s southern borderlands, and every day that the border remains closed, there are significant losses for the thousands of local traders who usually cross it every day. So what has led to the current standoff?
At the heart of the conflict is an escalation of disagreements about how smuggling on the Libya-Tunisia border should be regulated. For decades, price differences, tariff evasion and subsidies have created a vibrant border economy, employing thousands and moving huge quantities of textiles, gasoline, food, cigarettes and electronics.
As Libya slips deeper into an economic crisis, cracking down on smuggling has risen higher on the agendas of local authorities and militias
The Ben Ali and Gaddafi regimes tolerated these activities as a cheap way to provide an income for otherwise economically marginalised populations, with plenty of opportunities to channel money to politically connected elites. Since 2011, the post-revolutionary governments have inherited these border economies, but they have so far lacked a unified vision on how to transform them. People in the borderlands have paid the cost.
On the Libyan side, frustrations have mounted in recent years, as some of the goods smuggled out of the country are subsidised in Libya, imposing a cost on the state. At the same time, the demand created by smuggling activities has driven up prices and created shortages in the Libyan borderlands.
As Libya slips deeper into an economic crisis, cracking down on smuggling has risen higher on the agendas of local authorities and militias. Gasoline, in particular, has become contentious – and last year, amid increasing public outrage in western Libya, the informal agreements that regulate border smuggling started to limit quantities of gasoline. As a result, the price of the gasoline consumed by many in southern Tunisia has more than doubled.
At the same time, the fragmentation of authority in western Libya – and the significant commercial interests of some local groups in the smuggling economy – has made it difficult to foster robust solutions.
On the Tunisian side, the post-revolutionary state has largely continued to tolerate the smuggling economy on its southern border. Frequent promises of crackdowns, the occasional arrests of smugglers, and the creation of a largely inefficient “wall” along the Libya-Tunisia border has primarily been political theatre, aimed at both a domestic and international audience.
Successive administrations have understood the economic dependence of their southern borderlands on this trade, realising that a pure “law and order” approach could severely destabilise the region. At the same time, austerity politics and elite networks have made it difficult to build up investments and development projects as a genuine alternative to the smuggling economy.
The standoff at the Ras Ajdir crossing underscores the challenge that Tunisia and Libya face in renegotiating their relationship in a post-2011 world. Unfortunately, the border economies have put an extremely tight timeframe on this process; a series of crackdowns, border closures and roadblocks since 2014 have significantly tested the patience and resources of local communities.
In the absence of formal political channels with authorities in western Libya, the Tunisian state has largely relied on a set of local interlocutors – civil society activists, traders and local politicians – to reach across the border and try to prevent further escalation. They may succeed again and see the border reopened, with further restrictions on the smuggling of subsidised goods. But this is not a lasting solution.
There has been much talk about the risks that a destabilised and war-torn Libya holds for Tunisia’s security and economy. Yet, insufficient attention has been paid to the fact that a new, stable Libya may not tolerate the continuation of a large smuggling economy, triggering a serious destabilisation of southern Tunisia.
Going forward, there must be intensive political and economic re-engagement of the Tunisian state with its southern borderlands, focusing on the final point of the protesters’ list of demands: the creation of economic alternatives to the smuggling networks.
– Max Gallien is a PhD candidate in international development at the London School of Economics, specialising in the political economy of North Africa. He holds an MPhil in modern Middle Eastern studies from the University of Oxford and was a scholar in residence at Al-Akhawayn University in Morocco. Twitter: @MaxGallien.
TunisianMonitorOnline (Middle East Eye)